Central NY could get more rain in the next two days than in the past six weeks

Syracuse, N.Y. — Central New York could get more rain today and Saturday that in the past six weeks combined.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole are arcing through the eastern U.S. and will arrive this morning in the Northeast. Nearly all of Upstate New York is likely to get an inch of rain, with many areas getting 2 or 3 inches.

The heaviest swath of rain is expected through the Finger Lakes, the National Weather Service said.

Central New York has had just 1.4 inches of rain in the past six weeks, so creeks and rivers are low and the soil is dry. Given the dry conditions, little flooding is expected.

“The flood threat will be low,” the weather service said.

The rain will move in from the southwest, hitting Western New York in the morning and reaching Central New York by early afternoon. Rain could be heavy today and then taper off after dark, but a second, more intense round is likely overnight.

Some flooding is possible, however, in areas that get hit hard by both rounds of rain. Any such flooding would be in isolated areas, not widespread, the weather service said.

Syracuse could break the record for the rainiest Nov. 11. The record is 0.97 inches, set in 1906.

Today will be warm and windy, too, with highs in the mid 60s and wind gusts of nearly 30 mph.

The Northeast is wedged between the warm tropical storm and a cold storm system dropping heavy snow across the Upper Midwest. As Nicole slides up toward maritime Canada and out to the North Atlantic, the cold system will blow into Upstate New York, bringing the season’s first dose of lake effect snow.

Central New York could see an inch or two of snow from late Saturday night into early Monday morning. Tug Hill and Western New York could get several inches.

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